How Real is the Trump-driven Stock Market Bull’s Run lately?

I had been away from the stock market for several
months now and then I realized that there had been a bull run lately. Dow
crossing 20k and STI crossing 3k.

Wow… Great according to what Trump tweeted and
many reckon he is going to transform the US economy for the better.

You really think so?

I remember in several months ago when Trump was
the candidate, he mentioned we are in a day huge bubble that will burst
anytime, and even worse if Fed is going to increase interest rate!

Now he is the president and when Dow crossed 20k,
he tweeted great! And all credit to him. Suddenly all the problems had been
resolved just like that!

Hmmmm….

Do we really think how things can change within
such a short time.

It is pretty obvious to me that things are pretty
much the same if not worse, now as compare to few months ago. Words can change
within this short time, but fundamentals don’t!

The economy is not as vibrant as the stock market
think.

It really pays to be prudent.

Patience and self-control is the key for me. For
many months now, I had do nothing in the stock market after cashing out!

I am so happy that I have crafted the patience
which I will never going to have in the past, always wanting to dabble here and
there to the buy/sell buttons of the stock counters.

Sometimes stock increase, you are so pleased about
your own talent. Sometimes stock price drop immediately after your buy button,
we call it itchy fingers or bad luck!

I am convicted that we are heading into a
dangerous zone now. The more the market celebrates, the more so we should worry!

Maybe ask the question if the majority is always
correct or wrong?

Trump is protecting US economy by making it more
enclosed. Short term you protect jobs, but long term prices in US going to be
more expensive and make them less competitive to the rest of the world. Then he
still need to fulfill his promise to build the wall and the many
infrastructures in US.

It is funny that everyone is cheering that economy
in US is improving and interest rate is going to be raised by Yellen, without
seeing more in depth the complete picture.

Over time, price of goods and services in US will
increase due to protectionism against the China and the rest of the world. Then
US will also spend more in all the roads constructions! Next, interest rates is
going to be raised, meaning mortgage and loans are going to be more expensive.

So everything will be more expensive!

Then shall we asked where will be the money coming
from?

Yes, you guess right – print more!

For me, I shall do nothing now.

Keeping my cash in the bank earning meagre
interest and hoarding precious metals when prices is right will let me sleep
better at night! And I am also happy that my career for now is less affected
and starting to see more certainty!

Meanwhile I suppose patience and self-control is
critical now for me which I am happy to be able to enjoy these two fruits
lately. Then wisdom and knowledge will tell me when the time is ripe and where
to deploy the hoarded cash and metals.

The journey has just truly begun I suppose!

To end this article, may all the readers and
participants of the stock market be blessed with the wisdom and the prudence in
dealing with the market so that you can be prosperous and have good success!



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43 thoughts on “How Real is the Trump-driven Stock Market Bull’s Run lately?

  1. Hi Rolf,

    I have been following your site and read that you are in the OG sector.

    Noticing that the oil price has stabilied at $50 plus.

    Regarding shale gas, is this a disruptive thing or it has been with us for many centuries?

    Or maybe its the technology that is disruptive.

    Can keppel or sembcorp build these technologies to ride the shale wave?

    1. Hi sgdiv,

      Tks for following this site. Not sure if shale gas is following us for centuries but sure that new technologies always surface.

      Keppel and sembcorp in O&M are primarily builders of rigs, production units and vessels, hence it is totally different businesses as the shale gas.

      Normally, in business, you have to build on your core competencies and not say overnight you just change your competency bcos market change.

      Therefore, it will take sometime before both Kep and semb are evolving into new business line other than vessels building.

      They are diversifying away from being builders as we can already seen!

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  2. Hi,

    You are currently using top down approach and I kinda agree that your observation on world economy is not as vibrant as the market. But somehow, the correlation with GDP growth and market performance is not strong. I understand that you are taking a prudent approach but this may mean that you are missing out on potential rallies and portfolio income.

    I am trying a bottom up approach but currently heavier on cash. In my own opinion, to get out of stock totally due to the forecast of economy could be a bit extreme. However, time will tell whether you are right 🙂

    1. Hi Bf,

      Thanks for the comments.
      Agree on the weak correlation of GDP growth and mkt performance.

      It's always easier to win small here and there when market is turning vibrant. But it is never easy to be quick enough to avoid a sharp downturn.

      I prefer to miss out the rallies and portfolio which is generally more difficult than to win small on the rallies here and there and to follow the majority.

      Just speaking base on some past and life experiences that helped in my investment decision.

      Just a personal opinion that the big picture in life is more important, similarly in investment and all other decisions in life.

  3. Thanks for the article. To be honest, I don’t really believe that Trump can significantly improve lives of Americans into the better. As every politician, he talks too much and promise many things. However, it’s hard to notice any positive changes into the better. Moreover, every step and decision he makes is quite doubtful and widely discussed in the world and mass media. I’m afraid that he is more a business man than a politician. He has so much money and doesn’t need cash loan services to so he became a President because he wants more power.

    1. Hi Camilla,

      Thanks for the comments. Considering the weak and strange fundamentals of the world situation now, i am less focus on the financial and political situation now.

      All my attention is on family and friends' relationships which is more wonderful. 🙂

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    1. Hi Cory,

      Maybe you are right, i do not know. All i know is i am more happy lately focusing on having an enriching and truthful life than to focus on the details of the world!

      I reckon my patience had been more matured.

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    Do you find yourself in a bit of trouble with unpaid bills and don’t know which way to go or where to turn? What about finding a reputable Debt Consolidation firm that can assist you in reducing monthly installment so that you will have affordable repayment options as well as room to breathe when it comes to the end of the month and bills need to get paid? Dr. Jayden Martin Home Loans is the answer. Reduce your payments to ease the strain on your monthly expenses. Email ([email protected]) Phone: +1 (929)277-5237

    DO YOU NEED 100% FINANCE? we give out loans with an affordable interest rate of 2% JAYDEN MARTIN HOME LOANS, ([email protected]) aims is to provide Excellent Professional Financial Services.

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    We give you loan with a low interest rate of 2% and loan duration of 1 to 30 years to pay back the loan (secure and unsecured). Do not keep your financial problems to yourself in order for you not to be debt master or financial stress up, which is why you must contact us quickly for a solution to your financial problems. It will be a great joy to us when you are financially stable. Email ([email protected]) Phone: +1 (929)277-5237

    NOTE:Bear in mind that it will only take less than 24 Hours to process your file is 100% Guaranteed no matter your Credit Score.

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    +1 (929)277-5237
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    Get your instant loan approval

  22. I am a reliable private lender and Investor, Do you need a legit, honest, reputable and quick loan? I can help you with 100% guarantee loan, I am offering business and individual loan, More also we financing all kind of projects. For more details contact us Via Email:([email protected]) Phone number:+1(213)600-4547

    Best Regards

    Mr Raymond Johnson.

  23. Good day,

    I am a private lender. I give out Guarantee Business Loans, Personal
    Loans, Home Buying Loans, Auto Loans E.T.C. I give a long term loan
    from $2,000.00 to $1,000,000.00 from a maximum of one to fifty years At an
    interest rate of 3%, the interested applicant should email 🙁
    [email protected] ) or whatsapp (+12293838364 ) for more info

    Name
    country
    Loan amount needed
    Loan Duration
    Loan purpose
    Phone number
    Monthly income
    Status

    Southern Finance

  24. I GAVE BENJAMIN DOUGLAS A CHANCE TO FAIL JUST LIKE OTHERS : BUT HE PROVED ME
    WRONG BY GRANTING ME A LOAN [email [email protected]]

    Its really teeming with scammers on the internet, really not normal. In one
    week I lost $5,200 for payments. I had inquiries made at Dandy Cash.com
    and it came just disappointed. I've been a victim of several loan company who
    scammed me until I finally found someone who was still honest Benjamin Douglas
    [ [email protected]]
    Frankly i thought it would go the same way just like those before him, I
    was a little hesitant and skeptical but considering the dwindling situation
    of my life in general, I had no other choice other than to go through with
    the loan with Benjamin and expecting him to fail; so I took the risk anyway and
    I was able to borrow from him $55,000 surprisingly. Therefore, I'm pleading
    and soliciting to you out there whom might probably be in a similar
    financial mess to do business with Benjamin Douglas or else risked been ripped
    off like those before Douglas did to me and run away with my hard earned
    money. Benjamin Douglas is the only one i trust because he gave me the loan i
    needed were others failed, do not contact anyone else other than Douglas
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    of their hard earned money, the U.S. Attorney General are searching for
    this guys to penalize them for their evil act. so don't contact these guys
    and thereby promoting their nefarious vices in our society, they will only
    rip you off like they did to me. FOR YOUR SAFETY AND GOOD CONTACT BENJAMIN
    DOUGLAS on [email [email protected]]

  25. LOANS, BG/SBLC FOR LEASE AND PURCHASE

    We are exclusive agent to direct providers of Fresh Cut BG, SBLC, MTN Bonds, Bank draft and Loans which we have specifically for lease. We do not have any broker chain in this offer or get involved in Chauffer driven offers. We deliver with time and precision as set forth in the agreement. You are at liberty to engage our leased facilities into trade programs as well as in signature project(s) such as Aviation, Agriculture, Petroleum, Telecommunication, construction of Dams, Bridges and any other turnkey project(s) etc.

    DESCRIPTION OF INSTRUMENTS:
    1. Instrument: Bank Guarantee (BG/SBLC) (Appendix A)
    2. Total Face Value: Eur 5M MIN and Eur 10B MAX (Ten Billion USD) .
    3. Issuing Bank: HSBC Bank London, Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank Frankfurt.
    4. Age: One Year, One Month
    5. Leasing Price: 3% of Face Value plus 2% commission fees to brokers.
    6. Delivery: Bank to Bank swift.
    7. Payment: MT-103 or MT760
    8. Hard Copy: Bonded Courier within 7 banking days.

    The Leased Instruments includes: BG’ s, Insurance Guarantees, MTN, ( SBLC) Standby Letters of Credit and Third Party Guarantees such as a standby forward commitment to purchase or a standby loan. If you are a potential Investor or Principle looking to raise capital, we will be happy to answer any questions that you have about this opportunity and to provide you with all the details regarding this services.

    Our BG/ SBLC Financing can help you get your project funded, loan financing, please let me know if you are interested in any of our services, by providing you with yearly renewable leased bank instruments. We work directly with issuing bank lease providers, this Instrument can be monetized on your behalf for 100% funding.

    BROKERS ARE WELCOME & 100% PROTECTED!!!

    We are ready to close leasing with any interested client in few banking days, if interested do not hesitate to contact me direct.

    Regards

    Philip James
    Email: [email protected]
    Skype: [email protected]

  26. DO YOU NEED AN AFFORDABLE LOAN TODAY?

    We have provided over $1 Billion in business loans to over 15,000 business owners just like you. We use our own designated risk technology to provide you with the right business loan so you can grow your business. Our services are fast and reliable, loans are approved within 24 hours of successful application. We offer loans from a minimum range of $10,000 to a maximum of $200 million.

    Do you find yourself in a bit of trouble with unpaid bills and don’t know which way to go or where to turn? What about finding a reputable Debt Consolidation firm that can assist you in reducing monthly installment so that you will have affordable repayment options as well as room to breathe when it comes to the end of the month and bills need to get paid? HISPANIC LOAN COMPANIC LLC, is the answer. Reduce your payments to ease the strain on your monthly expenses. Email ({[email protected] ) Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658

    DO YOU NEED 100% FINANCE? we give out loans with an affordable interest rate of 2% HISPANIC LOAN COMPANY LLC, aims is to provide Excellent Professional Financial Services.

    Our services include the following:

    *Truck Loans
    * Personal Loans
    * Debt consolidation loans
    * Car Loans
    * Business Loans
    * Education Loans
    * Mortgage
    *Refinancing Loans
    * Home Loans

    We give you loan with a low interest rate of 2% and loan duration of 1 to 30 years to pay back the loan (secure and unsecured). Do not keep your financial problems to yourself in order for you not to be debt master or financial stress up, which is why you must contact us quickly for a solution to your financial problems. It will be a great joy to us when you are financially stable. Email {[email protected] }Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658

    NOTE:Bear in mind that it will only take less than 24 Hours to process your file is 100% Guaranteed no matter your Credit Score.

    Yours Sincerely,
    Email: [email protected]
    Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658
    Website: http://www.hispanicfinance.com

    We are certified and your privacy is 100% safe with us. Worry no more about your loans or finances.

  27. DO YOU NEED AN AFFORDABLE LOAN TODAY?

    We have provided over $1 Billion in business loans to over 15,000 business owners just like you. We use our own designated risk technology to provide you with the right business loan so you can grow your business. Our services are fast and reliable, loans are approved within 24 hours of successful application. We offer loans from a minimum range of $10,000 to a maximum of $200 million.

    Do you find yourself in a bit of trouble with unpaid bills and don’t know which way to go or where to turn? What about finding a reputable Debt Consolidation firm that can assist you in reducing monthly installment so that you will have affordable repayment options as well as room to breathe when it comes to the end of the month and bills need to get paid? HISPANIC LOAN COMPANIC LLC, is the answer. Reduce your payments to ease the strain on your monthly expenses. Email ({[email protected] ) Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658

    DO YOU NEED 100% FINANCE? we give out loans with an affordable interest rate of 2% HISPANIC LOAN COMPANY LLC, aims is to provide Excellent Professional Financial Services.

    Our services include the following:

    *Truck Loans
    * Personal Loans
    * Debt consolidation loans
    * Car Loans
    * Business Loans
    * Education Loans
    * Mortgage
    *Refinancing Loans
    * Home Loans

    We give you loan with a low interest rate of 2% and loan duration of 1 to 30 years to pay back the loan (secure and unsecured). Do not keep your financial problems to yourself in order for you not to be debt master or financial stress up, which is why you must contact us quickly for a solution to your financial problems. It will be a great joy to us when you are financially stable. Email {[email protected] }Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658

    NOTE:Bear in mind that it will only take less than 24 Hours to process your file is 100% Guaranteed no matter your Credit Score.

    Yours Sincerely,
    Email: [email protected]
    Whatsapp: +1(912) 695-1658
    Website: http://www.hispanicfinance.com

    We are certified and your privacy is 100% safe with us. Worry no more about your loans or finances.

  28. Do you need a Loan, or you want to refinance your home, pay-off bills, expand your business? look no further we off all kinds of Loan at 3% interest rate per year. if interested, contact us via Email: [email protected]

    Thank you for choosing Guarantee Trust Finance.

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  29. Do you need a Loan, or you want to refinance your home, pay-off bills, expand your business? look no further we off all kinds of Loan at 3% interest rate per year. if interested, contact us via Email: [email protected]

    Thank you for choosing Guarantee Trust Finance.

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